Fresno Housing Market September 2023
September 1st
Fresno Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2023
The housing market in Fresno and the Central Valley region of California has been a topic of interest for buyers, sellers, and real estate agents. Understanding the latest trends and changes in the market can provide valuable insights for those involved in the real estate industry. In this article, we will delve deeper into the current state of the housing market in Fresno and the Central Valley region and explore the factors driving these changes. The valley encompasses all or parts of 19 California counties including Fresno.
Central Valley Housing Market Trends
This analysis sheds light on the median sold prices of existing single-family homes and sales metrics, providing a deep understanding of the region's real estate dynamics. According to the California Association of Realtors (CAR) report, the median sold price for existing single-family homes in the Central Valley is a pivotal indicator of the market's health and trajectory.
The data reveals that as of June 2023, the median sold price stands at $480,000. This figure marks a slight decline from the previous month's median sold price of $485,000, indicating a 1.0% month-to-month change. Furthermore, in comparison to the median sold price of $500,000 recorded in June 2022, there has been a 4.0% year-over-year decrease.
The report continues to unveil crucial sales metrics that provide insight into Central Valley's housing market vitality. For June 2023, the report highlights a 2.4% decrease in sales activity compared to the previous month. Notably, when juxtaposed with June 2022's sales figure the report underscores a substantial year-over-year decrease of 22.9%.
Fresno Housing Market Trends
Fresno is the fifth-most populous city in California and the county seat of Fresno County. The city is located in the San Joaquin Valley, about 200 miles southeast of San Francisco. Fresno is known for its agriculture, hot weather, and diverse population.
The Fresno housing market is currently in a buyer's market. The median home price in Fresno is $375,000, which is down 2.6% from last year. Homes are staying on the market for an average of 12 days, which is up from 9 days last year. There were 357 homes sold in June 2023, down from 472 last year.
House Prices and Sales Trends
According to data by Redfin, in June 2023, the median sale price of a home in Fresno stood at $375,000. This figure reflects a 2.6% decrease compared to the previous year's prices. This dip in prices might be a result of various factors, such as changes in demand, economic conditions, and the overall real estate landscape. It's important to note that these fluctuations are common in the housing market and can be influenced by both local and global events.
Competitive Nature of the Market
Fresno's housing market is undoubtedly competitive, with homes typically receiving multiple offers. The Redfin Compete Score™, which rates competitiveness on a scale of 0 to 100, is an impressive indicator of the market's vigor. This score, calculated over the last three months, emphasizes Fresno's competitiveness, with many homes receiving multiple offers, some with waived contingencies. On average, homes go pending in around 12 days, which showcases the urgency and demand within the market.
Rent Prices
As of August 2023, the average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Fresno, CA is currently $1,315. This is a 15% decrease compared to the previous year. Over the past month, the average rent for a studio apartment in Fresno decreased by -7% to $995. The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment increased by 1% to $1,315, and the average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment increased by 6% to $1,600.
The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Fresno, CA is currently $1,600, down 9% compared to the previous year.
The average rent for a 3-bedroom apartment in Fresno, CA is currently $2,195, up 5% compared to the previous year.
The average rent for a 4-bedroom apartment in Fresno, CA is currently $2,595, down 2% compared to the previous year.
For Home Buyers in Fresno
If you are looking to buy a home in Fresno, now is a good time to do it. Home prices are still relatively affordable, and there are plenty of homes to choose from. However, it is important to act quickly, as the market is expected to continue to soften in the coming months. Here are some additional things to keep in mind when considering the Fresno housing market:
The cost of living in Fresno is slightly below the national average.
p>The weather in Fresno is hot and dry in the summer, but mild in the winter.Fresno is a major agricultural center, so there is a lot of farm work available.
The school district in Fresno is ranked below average.
Overall, the Fresno housing market is a good option for buyers who are looking for an affordable home in a warm and dry climate. However, it is important to do your research and understand the market conditions before making an offer.
Fresno Housing Market Forecast 2023-2024
The Fresno housing market has seen its fair share of fluctuations, and as we move forward, it's essential to examine the data and trends to predict what lies ahead. Zillow's insights provide valuable information about the current state of the market, offering a snapshot of where things stand as of June 30, 2023.
Current Market Snapshot:
According to Zillow, the average home value in Fresno is $363,533, which has experienced a slight decline of 1.6% over the past year. Homes are spending approximately 7 days on the market before going pending, reflecting high demand and a rapid pace of transactions. It's noteworthy that while the overall market has experienced a minor dip in value, the median sale-to-list ratio remains at a healthy 1.000, indicating that homes are still being sold close to their listed prices.
Market Dynamics:
The Fresno housing market is showing interesting dynamics in terms of sale prices. As of May 31, 2023, 43.8% of sales are occurring over the list price, demonstrating a competitive atmosphere where buyers are willing to pay more to secure their desired properties. On the other hand, 37.4% of sales are occurring under the list price, suggesting that there are still opportunities for those looking for deals.
Short-Term Forecast:
Metropolitan Fresno, officially Fresno–Madera, CA CSA, is a metropolitan area in the San Joaquin Valley, in the United States, consisting of Fresno and Madera counties. It is the third-largest metropolitan region in Northern California, behind the San Francisco Bay Area and Greater Sacramento. Looking into the near future, the Fresno Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) housing market is anticipated to experience gradual growth. According to the provided forecast data, from July 31, 2023, to September 30, 2023, a modest increase of 1.3% in home values is projected. This signifies a positive trend that could indicate a stabilizing market and growing buyer confidence.
Long-Term Perspective:
Zooming out to a longer horizon, the data suggests that the Fresno MSA housing market could see more significant growth. By June 30, 2024, the forecast indicates a potential increase of 5.4% in home values compared to the base date of June 30, 2023. If this prediction holds true, it could indicate a shift towards a more robust and competitive housing market, potentially offering new opportunities for both buyers and sellers.
Fresno Housing Market August 2023
Forecast 2023
August 8, 2023 -By Marco Santarelli
The housing market in Fresno and the Central Valley region of California has been a topic of interest for buyers, sellers, and real estate agents. Understanding the latest trends and changes in the market can provide valuable insights for those involved in the real estate industry. In this article, we will delve deeper into the current state of the housing market in Fresno and the Central Valley region and explore the factors driving these changes. The valley encompasses all or parts of 19 California counties including Fresno.
Central Valley Housing Market Trends
This analysis sheds light on the median sold prices of existing single-family homes and sales metrics, providing a deep understanding of the region's real estate dynamics. According to the California Association of Realtors (CAR) report, the median sold price for existing single-family homes in the Central Valley is a pivotal indicator of the market's health and trajectory. The data reveals that as of June 2023, the median sold price stands at $480,000. This figure marks a slight decline from the previous month's median sold price of $485,000, indicating a 1.0% month-to-month change. Furthermore, in comparison to the median sold price of $500,000 recorded in June 2022, there has been a 4.0% year-over-year decrease. The report continues to unveil crucial sales metrics that provide insight into Central Valley's housing market vitality. For June 2023, the report highlights a 2.4% decrease in sales activity compared to the previous month. Notably, when juxtaposed with June 2022's sales figure the report underscores a substantial year-over-year decrease of 22.9%.
Fresno Housing Market Trends
Fresno is the fifth-most populous city in California and the county seat of Fresno County. The city is located in the San Joaquin Valley, about 200 miles southeast of San Francisco. Fresno is known for its agriculture, hot weather, and diverse population. The Fresno housing market is currently in a buyer's market. The median home price in Fresno is $375,000, which is down 2.6% from last year. Homes are staying on the market for an average of 12 days, which is up from 9 days last year. There were 357 homes sold in June 2023, down from 472 last year.
House Prices and Sales Trends
According to data by Redfin, in June 2023, the median sale price of a home in Fresno stood at $375,000. This figure reflects a 2.6% decrease compared to the previous year's prices. This dip in prices might be a result of various factors, such as changes in demand, economic conditions, and the overall real estate landscape. It's important to note that these fluctuations are common in the housing market and can be influenced by both local and global events. Competitive Nature of the Market Fresno's housing market is undoubtedly competitive, with homes typically receiving multiple offers. The Redfin Compete Score™, which rates competitiveness on a scale of 0 to 100, is an impressive indicator of the market's vigor. This score, calculated over the last three months, emphasizes Fresno's competitiveness, with many homes receiving multiple offers, some with waived contingencies. On average, homes go pending in around 12 days, which showcases the urgency and demand within the market.
Rent Prices
As of August 2023, the average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Fresno, CA is currently $1,315. This is a 15% decrease compared to the previous year. Over the past month, the average rent for a studio apartment in Fresno decreased by -7% to $995. The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment increased by 1% to $1,315, and the average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment increased by 6% to $1,600. The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Fresno, CA is currently $1,600, down 9% compared to the previous year.
The US housing market is headed for the largest sales slowdown since 2011, Fannie Mae says
US home sales are headed for the biggest slowdown since 2011, according to Fannie Mae.
The government-sponsored mortgage finance company forecasted total home sales to slump to just 4.8 million this year, marking the slowest sales environment since 2011. That figure will only improve slightly in 2024, with total home sales expected to hit 4.9 million, Fannie Mae economists said.
The slump in sales is partly being influenced by high mortgage rates, with the average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage rising to 7.18% over the last week, according to Freddie Mac data. That means prospective home buyers are facing the highest cost of borrowing since 2001, which has heavily hindered demand over the past year.
Those dynamics are also taking shape in the backdrop of a weakening US economy, which is poised to enter a slowdown within the first half of next year, Fannie Mae economists predicted. The Fed has aggressively hiked interest rates over the past year to lower inflation, a move experts have warned could drive the economy into a recession.
An economic downturn spells trouble for the overall housing market. Though central bankers will likely pull back interest rates in event of a downturn -- which could influence mortgage rates to fall -- a weakening labor market and a crunch in credit conditions will likely slam housing demand, Fannie Mae said in a prior note.
And the economy is already showing signs of slowing. Optimists who say the US is on track to avoid a recession have pointed to still-robust consumer spending, but current trends look unsustainable when considering incomes, Fannie Mae said. Real personal consumption expenditures jumped 0.6% in July, though real disposable personal income dipped 0.2%.
Meanwhile, the latest credit card transactions data and auto sales data show a weakening US consumer, with car sales falling 4.6% last month. The personal savings rate also dipped to 3.5% in July while wage growth slowed -- a sign that the consumption propping up the US economy is about to slow down.
Revised economic statistics also show a weaker picture of the US economy than previously thought. Real GDP over the last quarter was revised down to 2.1%, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, down 0.3 percentage points from the original estimate.
But even if the US avoids a recession next year, the housing market will likely struggle for a "long time," Fannie Mae economists said previously, as the Fed will likely keep interest rates high to keep inflation in check, which will influence mortgage rates to remain elevated. Experts say housing affordability and sales are unlikely to improve until mortgage rates dial back more significantly, likely to around the 5% range.